Strategy #3 - VWAP-retest continuation - 30-day breakdown (May 1 - Jun 12, 2026)
Spec: arm on each new HOD/LOD - wait for retrace to VWAP - trade the side price holds (above->CALL, below->PUT). Strike ATM/+1/+2 OTM, delta>=0.30. PfZ max loss $275. Scale 1 contract at 3x/4x/5x...; after each scale move stop to previous TP (first->breakeven). Up to 8 trades/day. Real Alpaca 1-min premiums.
Fri May 01 - 2 trade(s) - day +$232
- CALL 724C (1-OTM, d+0.31) enter 09:55 $0.53 x5 -> exit 11:00 +$106 (peak 3.0x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$1.59(scale 1 @ 3x), 4@$0.53(stop @ breakeven)
- PUT 722P (1-OTM, d-0.39) enter 10:40 $0.89 x3 -> exit 15:59 +$126 (peak 1.7x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$1.31(EOD flat)
Mon May 04 - 3 trade(s) - day -$632
- CALL 721C (1-OTM, d+0.42) enter 09:50 $0.92 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$180 (peak 1.8x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
- CALL 722C (1-OTM, d+0.35) enter 10:15 $0.59 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$232 (peak 1.7x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 722C (1-OTM, d+0.34) enter 11:05 $0.56 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$220 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.01(EOD flat)
Tue May 05 - 3 trade(s) - day -$445
- CALL 724C (1-OTM, d+0.33) enter 10:05 $0.57 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$144 (peak 2.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.21(EOD flat)
- CALL 724C (1-OTM, d+0.38) enter 10:25 $0.73 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$156 (peak 1.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.21(EOD flat)
- CALL 724C (1-OTM, d+0.31) enter 10:50 $0.50 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$145 (peak 2.4x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 5@$0.21(EOD flat)
Wed May 06 - 3 trade(s) - day +$2,234
- CALL 731C (1-OTM, d+0.33) enter 09:55 $0.66 x4 -> exit 15:59 +$832 (peak 5.4x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$1.98(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$2.64(scale 1 @ 4x), 1@$3.30(scale 1 @ 5x), 1@$3.04(EOD flat)
- CALL 731C (1-OTM, d+0.34) enter 10:10 $0.66 x4 -> exit 15:59 +$832 (peak 5.4x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$1.98(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$2.64(scale 1 @ 4x), 1@$3.30(scale 1 @ 5x), 1@$3.04(EOD flat)
- CALL 732C (1-OTM, d+0.31) enter 13:00 $0.38 x7 -> exit 14:47 +$570 (peak 4.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$1.14(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$1.52(scale 1 @ 4x), 5@$1.14(stop @ 3x)
Thu May 07 - 3 trade(s) - day +$936
- PUT 732P (2-OTM, d-0.33) enter 09:50 $0.86 x3 -> exit 14:06 +$172 (peak 3.1x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$2.58(scale 1 @ 3x), 2@$0.86(stop @ breakeven)
- PUT 733P (1-OTM, d-0.39) enter 10:00 $0.93 x2 -> exit 15:59 +$260 (peak 3.7x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$2.79(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$1.67(EOD flat)
- PUT 733P (1-OTM, d-0.37) enter 12:00 $0.72 x3 -> exit 13:29 +$504 (peak 4.8x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$2.16(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$2.88(scale 1 @ 4x), 1@$2.16(stop @ 3x)
Fri May 08 - 3 trade(s) - day -$516
- CALL 737C (1-OTM, d+0.38) enter 09:50 $0.81 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$69 (peak 1.8x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.58(EOD flat)
- CALL 738C (1-OTM, d+0.36) enter 10:40 $0.67 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$232 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.09(EOD flat)
- PUT 736P (1-OTM, d-0.37) enter 14:55 $0.46 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$215 (peak 1.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 5@$0.03(EOD flat)
Mon May 11 - 2 trade(s) - day -$485
- CALL 740C (ATM, d+0.42) enter 12:45 $0.53 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$255 (peak 1.9x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 5@$0.02(EOD flat)
- PUT 738P (1-OTM, d-0.38) enter 15:00 $0.49 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$230 (peak 1.3x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 5@$0.03(EOD flat)
Tue May 12 - 3 trade(s) - day +$46
- PUT 734P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 09:55 $0.81 x3 -> exit 13:20 +$162 (peak 3.2x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$2.43(scale 1 @ 3x), 2@$0.81(stop @ breakeven)
- CALL 737C (1-OTM, d+0.39) enter 10:15 $0.87 x3 -> exit 15:59 +$72 (peak 2.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$1.11(EOD flat)
- PUT 734P (1-OTM, d-0.39) enter 10:30 $0.96 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$188 (peak 2.7x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
Wed May 13 - 1 trade(s) - day +$648
- CALL 739C (1-OTM, d+0.33) enter 10:15 $0.72 x3 -> exit 13:01 +$648 (peak 5.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$2.16(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$2.88(scale 1 @ 4x), 1@$3.60(scale 1 @ 5x)
Thu May 14 - 2 trade(s) - day -$422
- PUT 743P (1-OTM, d-0.37) enter 10:00 $1.09 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$214 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
- PUT 745P (1-OTM, d-0.30) enter 13:20 $0.56 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$208 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 4@$0.04(EOD flat)
Fri May 15 - 3 trade(s) - day -$694
- CALL 742C (2-OTM, d+0.38) enter 09:55 $1.31 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$258 (peak 1.7x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
- CALL 743C (2-OTM, d+0.36) enter 10:55 $1.03 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$204 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 742C (1-OTM, d+0.40) enter 14:40 $0.60 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$232 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.02(EOD flat)
Mon May 18 - 5 trade(s) - day -$1,122
- CALL 742C (1-OTM, d+0.39) enter 09:55 $0.99 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$196 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 742C (2-OTM, d+0.34) enter 10:10 $0.83 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$246 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 735P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 10:35 $0.95 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$188 (peak 2.0x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 735P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 11:05 $0.91 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$270 (peak 2.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 736P (ATM, d-0.43) enter 15:05 $0.75 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$222 (peak 2.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.01(EOD flat)
Tue May 19 - 5 trade(s) - day -$1,095
- CALL 738C (2-OTM, d+0.32) enter 09:55 $0.96 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$190 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 737C (2-OTM, d+0.34) enter 10:05 $1.05 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$208 (peak 1.3x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 731P (2-OTM, d-0.32) enter 10:10 $1.09 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$214 (peak 1.5x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
- PUT 731P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 11:20 $0.83 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$243 (peak 1.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.02(EOD flat)
- CALL 736C (1-OTM, d+0.34) enter 15:10 $0.42 x6 -> exit 15:59 -$240 (peak 1.9x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 6@$0.02(EOD flat)
Wed May 20 - 3 trade(s) - day +$562
- CALL 738C (2-OTM, d+0.36) enter 09:55 $1.30 x2 -> exit 15:59 +$492 (peak 3.5x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$3.90(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$3.62(EOD flat)
- PUT 733P (2-OTM, d-0.33) enter 10:15 $1.23 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$242 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
- CALL 739C (2-OTM, d+0.37) enter 10:20 $1.27 x2 -> exit 15:59 +$312 (peak 2.9x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$2.83(EOD flat)
Thu May 21 - 5 trade(s) - day +$265
- PUT 736P (2-OTM, d-0.39) enter 09:50 $1.50 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$149 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 742C (2-OTM, d+0.33) enter 09:55 $1.10 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$66 (peak 2.8x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.77(EOD flat)
- PUT 736P (2-OTM, d-0.33) enter 10:20 $1.18 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$234 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 741C (2-OTM, d+0.31) enter 11:15 $0.82 x3 -> exit 14:04 +$574 (peak 4.9x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$2.46(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$3.28(scale 1 @ 4x), 1@$2.46(stop @ 3x)
- CALL 742C (1-OTM, d+0.33) enter 15:00 $0.49 x5 -> exit 15:59 +$140 (peak 2.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 5@$0.77(EOD flat)
Fri May 22 - 2 trade(s) - day -$181
- CALL 748C (1-OTM, d+0.39) enter 13:25 $0.61 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$236 (peak 2.4x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.02(EOD flat)
- PUT 746P (1-OTM, d-0.38) enter 15:05 $0.49 x5 -> exit 15:59 +$55 (peak 2.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 5@$0.60(EOD flat)
Tue May 26 - 3 trade(s) - day -$717
- CALL 752C (1-OTM, d+0.36) enter 10:00 $0.82 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$243 (peak 1.5x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 749P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 11:15 $0.62 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$236 (peak 2.6x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 4@$0.03(EOD flat)
- PUT 749P (1-OTM, d-0.34) enter 14:30 $0.37 x7 -> exit 15:59 -$238 (peak 1.8x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 7@$0.03(EOD flat)
Wed May 27 - 4 trade(s) - day -$778
- CALL 752C (1-OTM, d+0.41) enter 10:05 $0.97 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$182 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.06(EOD flat)
- PUT 749P (1-OTM, d-0.37) enter 10:25 $0.93 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$174 (peak 1.7x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.06(EOD flat)
- PUT 749P (1-OTM, d-0.39) enter 11:35 $0.80 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$222 (peak 1.9x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.06(EOD flat)
- PUT 749P (1-OTM, d-0.36) enter 13:40 $0.46 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$200 (peak 1.4x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 5@$0.06(EOD flat)
Thu May 28 - 1 trade(s) - day -$9
- CALL 754C (1-OTM, d+0.38) enter 10:15 $0.83 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$9 (peak 1.6x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.80(EOD flat)
Fri May 29 - 2 trade(s) - day -$461
- PUT 755P (2-OTM, d-0.30) enter 10:20 $0.66 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$248 (peak 2.5x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 4@$0.04(EOD flat)
- PUT 754P (2-OTM, d-0.31) enter 10:55 $0.73 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$213 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.02(EOD flat)
Mon Jun 01 - 1 trade(s) - day -$243
- PUT 754P (2-OTM, d-0.33) enter 10:00 $0.84 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$243 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 3@$0.03(EOD flat)
Tue Jun 02 - 2 trade(s) - day +$74
- CALL 759C (1-OTM, d+0.33) enter 10:05 $0.59 x4 -> exit 13:36 +$118 (peak 3.1x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$1.77(scale 1 @ 3x), 3@$0.59(stop @ breakeven)
- CALL 759C (ATM, d+0.53) enter 13:45 $0.62 x4 -> exit 15:59 -$44 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 4@$0.51(EOD flat)
Wed Jun 03 - 2 trade(s) - day -$443
- CALL 758C (1-OTM, d+0.38) enter 10:15 $0.91 x3 -> exit 15:59 -$258 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 3@$0.05(EOD flat)
- CALL 757C (1-OTM, d+0.32) enter 14:30 $0.46 x5 -> exit 15:59 -$185 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 5@$0.09(EOD flat)
Thu Jun 04 - 1 trade(s) - day +$485
- CALL 754C (1-OTM, d+0.41) enter 10:00 $0.97 x2 -> exit 14:05 +$485 (peak 4.0x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$2.91(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$3.88(scale 1 @ 4x)
Fri Jun 05 - 1 trade(s) - day -$188
- CALL 752C (1-OTM, d+0.38) enter 10:20 $0.95 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$188 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 2@$0.01(EOD flat)
Mon Jun 08 - 4 trade(s) - day +$326
- PUT 739P (2-OTM, d-0.38) enter 10:00 $1.69 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$151 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: new LOD -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.18(EOD flat)
- PUT 740P (2-OTM, d-0.38) enter 10:15 $1.47 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$67 (peak 1.4x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.80(EOD flat)
- PUT 740P (2-OTM, d-0.32) enter 11:35 $0.94 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$28 (peak 2.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.80(EOD flat)
- PUT 741P (1-OTM, d-0.35) enter 14:35 $0.52 x5 -> exit 15:20 +$572 (peak 4.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$1.56(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$2.08(scale 1 @ 4x), 3@$1.56(stop @ 3x)
Tue Jun 09 - 2 trade(s) - day +$342
- PUT 743P (1-OTM, d-0.37) enter 10:00 $1.14 x2 -> exit 10:44 +$570 (peak 4.5x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$3.42(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$4.56(scale 1 @ 4x)
- PUT 729P (2-OTM, d-0.34) enter 13:50 $1.16 x2 -> exit 15:59 -$228 (peak 1.0x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 2@$0.02(EOD flat)
Wed Jun 10 - 1 trade(s) - day +$378
- PUT 733P (2-OTM, d-0.39) enter 10:50 $1.89 x1 -> exit 14:50 +$378 (peak 3.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$5.67(scale 1 @ 3x)
Thu Jun 11 - 4 trade(s) - day +$585
- CALL 731C (2-OTM, d+0.38) enter 09:50 $1.94 x1 -> exit 13:44 +$388 (peak 3.0x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$5.82(scale 1 @ 3x)
- PUT 726P (2-OTM, d-0.40) enter 10:15 $2.19 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$218 (peak 1.7x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.01(EOD flat)
- PUT 725P (2-OTM, d-0.36) enter 11:20 $1.71 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$170 (peak 1.1x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 735C (2-OTM, d+0.33) enter 13:30 $1.17 x2 -> exit 15:32 +$585 (peak 4.1x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$3.51(scale 1 @ 3x), 1@$4.68(scale 1 @ 4x)
Fri Jun 12 - 4 trade(s) - day -$684
- CALL 741C (2-OTM, d+0.38) enter 10:05 $1.88 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$108 (peak 2.3x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$0.80(EOD flat)
- PUT 736P (2-OTM, d-0.39) enter 10:45 $1.98 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$197 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.01(EOD flat)
- CALL 744C (2-OTM, d+0.37) enter 10:55 $1.85 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$183 (peak 1.3x)
- setup: new HOD -> retrace to VWAP, held above
- legs: 1@$0.02(EOD flat)
- PUT 738P (2-OTM, d-0.41) enter 11:50 $1.97 x1 -> exit 15:59 -$196 (peak 1.2x)
- setup: extreme -> retrace to VWAP, held below
- legs: 1@$0.01(EOD flat)
Summary
- Total: -$2,002 over 30 days, 80 trades
- May: -$2,634 | June 1-12: +$632
- Trade win rate: 23/80 (29%) | winning days: 13/30
- Avg winning trade: +$389 | avg losing trade: -$192
- Best trade: CALL 731C +$832 | worst: -$270
- Avg trades/day: 2.7
- For comparison, capped at 1 trade/day: +$830